Revamped Findel upbeat on outlook

May 2007

The group, which underwent heavy reorganisation and engaged in intense acquisition and disposal activity over the year, saw full year pretax profits rise 10% to £56m on sales up 11% to £587m.

Earnings per share increased 4% to 50.17p and there is a final dividend of 15.6p, taking the full year payout to 19.8p, up 10% on last time.

The numbers above, however, exclude operating losses of £6m on discontinued businesses. Some of the others hits in a very long list of one-offs that totalled £36.6m over the year include £16.5m on disposal of its outlet stores; £7.5m for warehouse reorganisation and contract exiting in Home Shopping; and £4.3m for further reorganisation in Educational Supplies.

Over the year the group made very good progress with its strategic aim of moving into the cash with order market. A year ago, the Home Shopping business, for instance, operated only a credit model. A flurry of acquisitions, including Kleeneze, Kitbag.com and The Cotswold Company, however, has added a cash with order business with annualised sales of over £150m.

Home Shopping sales from ongoing businesses increased 29% to £338m over the year, with operating profit increased 29% to £48.4m. The division benefited from further strong growth in internet sales, which now makes up 30% of all sales in the core credit business. The group expects internet sales will make up more than 50% of all sales in the current year.

Home Shopping's customer base is now over 1.5m with retention rates at a record 70%. Bad debt remains in line with budgeted levels at less than 8% of sales. Findel believes the division is now well positioned with both a credit and cash with order offer.

Current trading is certainly encouraging, with divisional like for likes in the credit business over the first 6 weeks of the new year up 7% and product sales 13% ahead. Overall divisional sales, including acquisitions are 64% ahead of last year.

Educational Supplies, meanwhile, saw ongoing sales ease 3.2% to £168.2m and operating profits fall 6% to £22.7m on difficult marker conditions caused by a number of factors including the introduction new multi year budgets for schools' delays in providing this year's funding; and schools not spending to their budgets - they have once again built up net surpluses to £1.6bn.

The division, however, saw an upturn in demand in the final quarter of the year being reported which has spilled over into the new year, with sales for the first six weeks of up 6% on last time. The group reckons the business is very well placed for a return to growth this year.

Group sales overall over the first six week were 32% ahead of last time and while that includes contributions from acquisitions, management's confidence about the heavily revamped group's prospects going forward is palpable. Encouragingly, integration of the clutch of acquisitions is on track and 'significant benefits' can be expected from the exercise.

Investors will be given the opportunity to assess Findel's long-term prospects in more detail when the group publishes the outcome of a strategic review. The review is due to be concluded by the end of the summer.

Today's statement generally pleased Seymour Pierce analyst Richard Ratner. Despite some misgivings about the accounting for one-offs, he reiterates 'outperform' for the stock. He believes the strategic review should lead to a demerger of the group.

Ahead of seeing the company, Ratner is retaining his 2008 forecasts, with pretax profits seen coming in at £63.3m, giving earnings per share of 54.4p.

The strong results, very confident tone of the statement, and upbeat noises on outlook led to Findel Plc shares rushing ahead 7% or 47p to 709p this morning. Based on Seymour's estimates, that implies an undemanding forward PER of 13. The prospective yield is a decent 3%.